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Capital productivity remains below pre-pandemic levels, helping explain why private investment has failed to respond more strongly to the government’s push.

Governments, businesses and investors closely watch capital expenditure (capex) and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), a measure of the net investments in fixed assets within an economy, because investment is expected to create productive capacity, quality jobs and growth. India’s recent investment experience, however, presents a puzzle. Public-sector investment has expanded, investment intentions from companies remain positive in some sectors, yet capital productivity remains below its pre-pandemic level and private-sector participation in investment has weakened.
The private sector's share of GFCF declined from 35.3% in 2021-22 to 32.2% in 2024-25.
Union ministers have repeatedly urged the private sector to raise …

Budget 2025-26 backs off from supporting the economy when it is badly needed, choosing instead to play to the gallery. What next for consumption?
In her last full budget before the next general elections, the finance minister had something for nearly everyone. But beyond the announcements, will it really move the needle?