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Aggressive expansion by India’s largest grocery retailer has not managed to boost growth. Should investors temper expectations?

A popular business channel reported on Wednesday, around noon, that Avenue Supermarts would continue store expansion by 10-15% annually. This immediately set off a sharp uptick in the stock, helping it eventually close 7.1% higher on the BSE. The stock is now up 19.4% year-to-date.
When, later in the day, the detailed analyst call recordings became public, the DMart supermarket chain operator’s ambitions were in line with the earlier newsbreak. “The only thing I could have done better is probably accelerate store expansion more,” outgoing CEO Neville Noronha said when asked what he would have done differently during his tenure. …
The retailer has shrunk operations to fix its loss-making vertical. But a reduced presence risks hurting volumes in a segment dominated by Blinkit and Instamart.
Surprisingly strong metrics alongside aggressive expansion mask a lurking balance-sheet risk. Moreover, competition is not going to be kind to the retail giant any time soon.
Slowing growth, weakening store metrics and a puzzling fundraise point to the retailer losing some of its post-Zudio sheen.